虚拟代理经济体

摘要

自主AI代理的迅速普及正在催生一个新的经济层面，在这个层面中，代理以超越人类直接监管的规模和速度进行交易与协调。我们提出“沙盒经济”作为分析这一新兴系统的框架，从两个关键维度对其进行刻画：其起源（自发形成与人为设计）及其与现有人类经济的分离程度（可渗透与不可渗透）。当前的发展趋势指向一个自发形成、高度可渗透的AI代理经济体系，这为我们带来了前所未有的协调机遇，同时也伴随着系统性经济风险和加剧的不平等等重大挑战。本文探讨了若干可能的设计选择，以期引导AI代理市场安全可控地发展。具体而言，我们考虑了公平资源分配和偏好解决的拍卖机制、围绕实现集体目标而设计的AI“使命经济”，以及确保信任、安全与问责所需的社会技术基础设施。通过这一系列探讨，我们主张主动设计可引导的代理市场，确保即将到来的技术变革与人类长期集体繁荣相契合。

English

The rapid adoption of autonomous AI agents is giving rise to a new economic layer where agents transact and coordinate at scales and speeds beyond direct human oversight. We propose the "sandbox economy" as a framework for analyzing this emergent system, characterizing it along two key dimensions: its origins (emergent vs. intentional) and its degree of separateness from the established human economy (permeable vs. impermeable). Our current trajectory points toward a spontaneous emergence of a vast and highly permeable AI agent economy, presenting us with opportunities for an unprecedented degree of coordination as well as significant challenges, including systemic economic risk and exacerbated inequality. Here we discuss a number of possible design choices that may lead to safely steerable AI agent markets. In particular, we consider auction mechanisms for fair resource allocation and preference resolution, the design of AI "mission economies" to coordinate around achieving collective goals, and socio-technical infrastructure needed to ensure trust, safety, and accountability. By doing this, we argue for the proactive design of steerable agent markets to ensure the coming technological shift aligns with humanity's long-term collective flourishing.

虚拟代理经济体

Virtual Agent Economies

摘要

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